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News
Oil Is Pushing Bond Yields Higher Again, And The Fed Is Back In The Middle
5+ day, 21+ hour ago (616+ words) Brent crude climbed above $98 a barrel Tuesday as tensions between the United States and Iran kept pressure on energy markets, while the 10-year Treasury yield moved toward 4.8%. Stocks had already fallen Monday as the two markets reinforced the same uncomfortable…...
Goldman’s Peter Oppenheimer Says The Easy Stock-Market Returns Are Behind Us
1+ week, 4+ day ago (397+ words) “We’ve already had a lot of good returns behind us,” Oppenheimer said. That leaves Goldman expecting equities to keep advancing, but at a more gradual pace as valuations, interest rates and slowing earnings momentum make another year of unusually large…...
Scott Bessent’s Bond Rally Is Gone. The Market Is Back Where He Started.
1+ week, 5+ day ago (216+ words) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent shocked the bond market on Aug. 19 by doubling planned purchases of long-dated government debt, briefly pushing the 30-year Treasury yield sharply lower. Less than two weeks later, the 30-year yield is back above 5.28%, essentially where it…...
Warsh Told Markets To Stop Waiting For The Fed To Tell Them What Happens Next
1+ week, 5+ day ago (530+ words) Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve chair to deliver a message markets could price immediately: inflation is still too high, financial conditions aren't obviously restrictive and another rate increase remains firmly on the table. The…...
What Pacer’s Sean O’Hara Wants Advisors to Know About Profitable Small Caps and the CALF ETF
2+ week, 5+ day ago (769+ words) Small caps are back in the conversation as advisors look for places to redeploy cash away from mega-cap-heavy indexes, and Sean O’Hara wants them to look closely at what they’re buying. Broad small-cap benchmarks carry a large contingent of companies…...
The SEC Is Now Looking Into The Trades That Nearly Broke Situational Awareness
2+ week, 6+ day ago (175+ words) The SEC investigation may ultimately produce no enforcement action. An inquiry is not an accusation, and dramatic losses at a highly leveraged hedge fund are enough to give regulators reasons to understand what happened without implying that anybody broke the…...
Kevin Warsh Wanted The Fed To Say Less. Jackson Hole Is Forcing Him To Say More.
2+ week, 6+ day ago (344+ words) The tension is unusually personal for a central-bank communications dispute. Warsh wants investors to rely less on Fed guidance and more on economic data, but economists and traders aren't merely asking him to predict the next interest-rate decision. They want…...
VictoryShares® Takes Aim at the Value Trap With a Hybrid Value-Momentum Approach
2+ week, 6+ day ago (806+ words) Every advisor who has run a value screen has likely lived through the same disappointment. A stock looks cheap on the metrics that matter, the client buys in on the promise of upside, and then the name just sits there....
Ed Yardeni Says He Wasn’t Bullish Enough. Now He Sees The S&P 500 At 8,250.
2+ week, 6+ day ago (305+ words) Ed Yardeni was already one of Wall Street’s biggest bulls when he put a 7,700 year-end target on the S&P 500. Now he says even that wasn’t bullish enough. After a first-quarter earnings season he called “gangbusters,” the president of Yardeni…...
BofA Says Bessent Needs To Get The 30-Year Treasury Below 5%
3+ week, 3+ day ago (316+ words) Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett has put a number on Scott Bessent’s bond-market problem: 5% on the 30-year Treasury yield. If the Treasury secretary’s expanding buyback program can’t push long rates below that threshold, Hartnett expects pressure to spread beyond…...